Showing posts with label Forex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forex. Show all posts

A Complete Forex Glossary

/ Saturday, September 17, 2011 /

Forex Glossary

Equity – the secure part of the client account, considering the open positions, bound with the balance and floating rate (profit/loss) by the following formula: Balance + Floating rate + Swap, i.e. the funds on the client account less the current amount for the open positions, plus the current earnings for the open positions.

Free margin – the funds, which are not used for the security of the opened positions. It is calculated by the formula: Free Margin = Equity – Margin.

Margin – The required equity that an investor must deposit to collateralize a position equal to 1% (when leverage = 1:100) of an open position deposit.

Margin level – determines the condition of an account. Calculated according to the formula: (Equity / Margin) * 100%.

Base currency – currency unit in which an account, balances, commission fees and payments are designated and calculated.

Balance – the total financial result of all fully executed transactions and deposits/withdrawals to/from an account.

Broker – the firm that provides crediting services and trader support.

Bulls – traders that count on currency rate escalation.

Bull market – market that tends toward escalating rates.

Currency pair – The two currencies that make up a foreign exchange rate. For Example, EUR/USD.

Rising trend – every time the highest value of a curve appears, compared to previous rate values. The lowest curve points are connected by a straight line – trend line.

Intraday trade – trade oriented at gaining profit within one day.

Dealing – non-cash currency trading.

Dealing centre – company that provides access to the money market.

Account history – list of complete transactions and non-trading operations for a trading account.

Client – physical or legal party executing operations with the company.

Client terminal – MetaTrader 4.xx software product lets the client get information about financial market trades in real time terms (quantity defined by the company), perform technical analysis of markets, operate, set/change/cancel orders and receive messages from the dealer and the company as well.

Trend lines – These are straight lines, with a positive slope, drawn on a graph through low points when tendencies are rising, and with a negative slope, drawn through the high points when tendencies are on the decline. These lines define the current trends. Trend line gaps usually signal tendency changes.

Client log file – file, created by the client terminal, which records all requests and orders sent from the client to a dealer with 1 second accuracy.

Server log file – file, created by the server, which records all requests and orders received from the client to a dealer, as well as the processing result, with 1 second accuracy.

Margin trading – using borrowed money to buy securities, with the expectation of increasing profits. Margin trading can bring big returns, but is also risky.

Market-makers – major banks and financial firms that pledge to provide liquidity by accepting the other side of a trade in a currency, security or futures contract.

Initial margin - The initial deposit of collateral required to enter into a position as a guarantee on future performance.

Non-trading operation – depositing or withdrawing funds from a trading account, or extending credit.

Normal market conditions – condition of a market that meets the following requirements:
  • absence of noticeable breaks in relation to the trading platform quotes;
  • absence of rushing price dynamics;
  • absence of essential price gaps.
Trade operation volume – number of lots multiplied by lot size.

Open position – the first part of a complete transaction result; at the opening position, the client accepts the following obligations:
  • to close reverse trading of equal amount;
  • to maintain equity no lower than 10% of the necessary margin.
Market opening – trade re-opening after a weekend, holidays or after a rest interval during trading sessions.

Pending order – the client instructs the dealer to buy or sell once the price reaches the order level.

Complete closed transaction – consists of two opposite and equal trading operations (opening and closing positions): buying followed by selling or selling followed by buying.

Quote tread – a block of numerical data that describes the meaning of the price at a specific time period.

Pips (points) – The smallest unit of price for any foreign currency, also referred to as points.

Lot Size – number of assets, products, or base currency defined in the contract per one lot.

Developer – “MetaQuotes Software Corp.” is the trading platform developer.

Accounting currency – currency unit in which deposit/withdrawal operations are performed.

Range – the distance between levels of support and levels of resistance.

Swap – money resources reduced or added to a client’s account for passing a position overnight.

Adviser – kind of trading account management algorithm in form of a program based on MetaQuotes Language 4. This program sends requests and orders to a server using the client terminal.

Spike – see “Non-market quoting”.

Contract specifications – main trading terms (such as spread, lot size, minimal trading operation quantity, change in trading operation volume move, initial margin, lock margin etc.) for each instrument.

Spread – The difference in pips between the Bid and the Ask quote.

Account – a special personal account opened with the company by a client. This account is used to offset the obligations of the client and dealer, resulting from the deals concluded under the present agreement.

Ticker – unique identification number given to every opening position or pending order within the trading platform.

Trading operation – When a client buys or sells any instrument.

Trading platform – the set of software and technical resources that support financial market trading information to be received in real time; processes trading operations, takes into account mutual obligations between the client and the dealer, and observes conditions and restrictions as well. For the purposes of the present regulation, it consists of the “Server” and “Client” terminals.

Trading Account – unique personalized stock-taking operations register on the trading platform, where complete closed transactions, opened positions, non-market operations and orders are reflected.

Transaction – trade operations where money resources move from base currency into quoting currency and vice versa.

Trader – person, who trades currency on the Forex market in order to earn profit.

Trend – current general direction of price movement.

Order level – price given in order.

Support level – lowest channel’s borderline.

Resistance level – highest channel’s borderline.

Figure – price change for 100 pips. For example, price change EUR/USD from 1.3770 to 1.3870 – this means figure increase.

Force major circumstances – occurrences which could not be foreseen or prevented. These include: natural disasters; wars; acts of terrorism; government actions, actions of executive and legislative government authority, hacker attacks, and other unlawful acts toward servers.

Hedging – operation that protects an asset or liability against a fluctuation in the foreign exchange rate.

Price prior to non-market quoting – closing price of minute bar, prior to minute bar with non-market quoting. Price Gap – either of the following situations:
  • Present quoting Bid is greater than prior quoting Ask;
  • Present quoting Ask is less than prior quoting Bid.
Market opening price gap – either of the following situations:
  • Market opening quote Bid is greater than market closing quote Ask;
  • Market opening quote Ask is less than market closing quoteBid.
Obvious mistake – opening/closing client positions or executing client order at a price that greatly differs from price quoted per instrument in present flow quoting at the moment of processing. Or some other dealer activity or inactivity that deals with mistaken determination of marketprices at the present moment.


A Complete Forex Glossary

A

Accrual - The apportionment of premiums and discounts on forward exchange transactions that relate directly to deposit swap (Interest Arbitrage) deals, over the period of each deal.

Adjustment - Official action normally by either change in the internal economic policies to correct a payment imbalance or in the official currency rate or. Adjustment - Official action normally by either change in the internal economic policies to correct a payment imbalance or in the official currency rate or.

Appreciation - A currency is said to ‘appreciate’ when it strengthens in price in response to market demand.

Arbitrage - The purchase or sale of an instrument and simultaneous taking of an equal and opposite position in a related market, in order to take advantage of small price differentials between markets.

Ask (Offer) Price - The price at which the market is prepared to sell a specific Currency in a Foreign Exchange Contract or Cross Currency Contract. At this price, the trader can buy the base currency. In the quotation, it is shown on the right side of the quotation. For example, in the quote USD/CHF 1.4527/32, the ask price is 1.4532; meaning you can buy one US dollar for 1.4532 Swiss francs.

At Best - An instruction given to a dealer to buy or sell at the best rate that can be obtained.

At or Better - An order to deal at a specific rate or better.


B

Balance of Trade - The value of a country’s exports minus its imports.

Bar Chart - A type of chart which consists of four significant points: the high and the low prices, which form the vertical bar, the opening price, which is marked with a little horizontal line to the left of the bar, and the closing price, which is marked with a little horizontal line of the right of the
bar.

Base Currency - The first currency in a Currency Pair. It shows how much the base currency is worth as measured against the second currency. For example, if the USD/CHF rate equals 1.6215 then one USD is worth CHF 1.6215 in the FX markets, the US Dollar is normally considered the ‘base’ currency for quotes, meaning that quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the other currency quoted in the pair. The primary exceptions to this rule are the British Pound, the Euro and the Australian Dollar.

Bear Market - A market distinguished by declining prices.

Bid Price - The bid is the price at which the market is prepared to buy a specific Currency in a Foreign Exchange Contract or Cross Currency Contract. At this price, the trader can sell the base currency. It is shown on the left side of the quotation. For example, in the quote USD/CHF 1.4527/32, the bid price is 1.4527; meaning you can sell one US dollar for 1.4527 Swiss francs.

Bid/Ask Spread - The difference between the bid and offer price.

Big Figure Quote - Dealer expression referring to the first few digits of an exchange rate. These digits are often omitted in dealer quotes... For example, a USD/JPY rate might be 117.30/117.35, but would be quoted verbally without the first three digits i.e. «30/35».

Book - In a professional trading environment, a ‘book’ is the summary of a trader’s or desks total positions.

Broker - An individual or firm that acts as an intermediary, putting together buyers and sellers for a fee or commission. In contrast, a ‘dealer’ commits capital and takes one side of a position, hoping to earn a spread (profit) by closing out the position in a subsequent trade with another party.

Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944 - An agreement that established fixed foreign exchange rates for major currencies, provided for central bank intervention in the currency markets, and pegged the price of gold at US $35 per ounce. The agreement lasted until 1971, when President Nixon overturned the Bretton Woods agreement and established a floating exchange rate for the major currencies.

Bull Market - A market distinguished by rising prices.

Bundesbank - Germany’s Central Bank.


C

Cable - Trader jargon referring to the Sterling/US Dollar exchange rate. So called because the rate was originally transmitted via a transatlantic cable beginning in the mid 1800’s.

Candlestick Chart - A chart that indicates the trading range for the day as well as the opening and closing price. If the open price is higher than the close price, the rectangle between the open and close price is shaded. If the close price is higher than the open price, that area of the chart is not shaded.

Cash Market - The market in the actual financial instrument on which a futures or options contract is based.

Central Bank - A government or quasi-governmental organization that manages a country’s monetary policy. For example, the US central bank is the Federal Reserve, and the German central bank is the Bundesbank.

Chartist - An individual who uses charts and graphs and interprets historical data to find trends and predict future movements. Also referred to as Technical Trader.

Cleared Funds - Funds that are freely available, sent in to settle a trade.

Closed Position - Exposures in Foreign Currencies that no longer exist. The process to close a position is to sell or buy a certain amount of currency to offset an equal amount of the open position. This will ‘square’ the position.

Clearing - The process of settling a trade.

Contagion - The tendency of an economic crisis to spread from one market to another. In 1997, political instability in Indonesia caused high volatility in their domestic currency, the Rupiah. From there, the contagion spread to other Asian emerging currencies, and then to Latin America, and is now referred to as the ‘Asian Contagion’.

Collateral - Something given to secure a loan or as a guarantee of performance.

Commission - A transaction fee charged by a broker.

Confirmation - A document exchanged by counterparts to a transaction that states the terms of said transaction.

Contract - The standard unit of trading.

Counters Currency - The second listed Currency in a Currency Pair.

Counterparty - One of the participants in a financial transaction.

Country Risk - Risk associated with a cross-border transaction, including but not limited to legal and political conditions.

Cross Currency Pairs or Cross Rate - A foreign exchange transaction in which one foreign currency is traded against a second foreign currency. For example; EUR/GBP.

Currency symbols :
  • AUD - Australian Dollar
  • CAD - Canadian Dollar
  • EUR - Euro
  • JPY - Japanese Yen
  • GBP - British Pound
  • CHF - Swiss Franc
  • USD - American Dollar
Currency - Any form of money issued by a government or central bank and used as legal tender and a basis for trade.

Currency Pair - The two currencies that make up a foreign exchange rate. For Example, EUR/USD

Currency Risk - the probability of an adverse change in exchange rates


D

Day Trader - Speculators who take positions in currency which are then liquidated prior to the close of the same trading day.

Dealer - An individual or firm that acts as a principal or counterpart to a transaction. Principals take one side of a position, hoping to earn a spread (profit) by closing out the position in a subsequent trade with another party. In contrast, a broker is an individual or firm that acts as an intermediary, putting together buyers and sellers for a fee or commission.

Deficit - A negative balance of trade or payments.

Delivery - An FX trade where both sides make and take actual delivery of the currencies traded.

Depreciation - A fall in the value of a currency due to market forces.

Derivative - A contract that changes in value in relation to the price movements of a related or underlying security, future or other physical instrument. An Option is the most common derivative instrument.

Devaluation - The deliberate downward adjustment of a currency’s price, normally by official announcement.


E

Economic Indicator - A government issued statistic that indicates current economic growth and stability. Common indicators include employment rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, retail sales, etc.

End Of Day Order (EOD) - An order to buy or sell at a specified price. This order remains open until the end of the trading day which is typically 5PM ET.

European Monetary Union (EMU) - The principal goal of the EMU is to stablish a single European currency called the Euro, which will officially replace the national currencies of the member EU countries in 2002. On Janaury1, 1999 the transitional phase to introduce the Euro began. The Euro now exists as a banking currency and paper financial transactions and foreign exchange are made in Euros. This transition period will last for three years, at which time Euro notes a coins will enter circulation. On July 1, 2002, only Euros will be legal tender for EMU participants, the national currencies of the member countries will cease to exist. The current members of the EMU are Germany, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Austria, Finland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Italy, Greece, Spain and Portugal.

EURO - the currency of the European Monetary Union (EMU). A replacement for the European Currency Unit (ECU).

European Central Bank (ECB) - the Central Bank for the new European Monetary Union.


F

Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) - The regulatory agency responsible for administering bank depository insurance in the US.

Federal Reserve (Fed) - The Central Bank for the United States.

First In First Out (FIFO) - Open positions are closed according to the FIFO accounting rule. All positions opened within a particular currency pair are liquidated in the order in which they were originally opened.

Flat/square - Dealer jargon used to describe a position that has been completely reversed, e.g. you bought $500,000 then sold $500,000, thereby creating a neutral (flat) position.

Foreign Exchange - (Forex, FX) - The simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another.

Forward - The pre-specified exchange rate for a foreign exchange contract settling at some agreed future date, based upon the interest rate differential between the two currencies involved.

Forward Points - The pips added to or subtracted from the current exchange rate to calculate a forward price.

Fundamental Analysis - Analysis of economic and political information with the objective of determining future movements in a financial market.

Futures Contract - An obligation to exchange a good or instrument at a set price on a future date. The primary difference between a Future and a Forward is that Futures are typically traded over an exchange (Exchange- Traded Contacts - ETC), versus forwards, which are considered Over The Counter (OTC) contracts. An OTC is any contract NOT traded on an exchange.

FX - Foreign Exchange


G

G7 - The seven leading industrial countries, being: US, Germany, Japan, France, UK, Canada, Italy.

Going Long - The purchase of a stock, commodity, or currency for investment or speculation.

Going Short - The selling of a currency or instrument not owned by the seller.

Gross Domestic Product - Total value of a country’s output, income or expenditure produced within the country’s physical borders.

Gross National Product - Gross domestic product plus income earned from investment or work abroad.

Good ‘Til Cancelled Order (GTC) - An order to buy or sell at a specified price. This order remains open until filled or until the client cancels.


H & I

H

Hedge - A position or combination of positions that reduces the risk of your primary position.

«Hit the bid» - Acceptance of purchasing at the offer or selling at the bid.

I

Inflation - An economic condition whereby prices for consumer goods rise, eroding purchasing power.

Initial Margin - The initial deposit of collateral required to enter into a position as a guarantee on future performance.

Interbank Rates - The Foreign Exchange rates at which large international banks quote other large international banks.

Intervention - Action by a central bank to affect the value of its currency by entering the market. Concerted intervention refers to action by a number of central banks to control exchange rates.


K & L

K

Kiwi - Slang for the New Zealand dollar.

L

Leading Indicators - Statistics that are considered to predict future economic activity.

Leverage - Also called margin. The ratio of the amount used in a transaction to the required security deposit.

LIBOR - The London Inter-Bank Offered Rate. Banks use LIBOR when borrowing from another bank.

Limit order - An order with restrictions on the maximum price to be paid or the minimum price to be received. As an example, if the current price of USD/YEN is 117.00/05, then a limit order to buy USD would be at a price below 102. (i.e. 116.50)

Liquidation - The closing of an existing position through the execution of an offsetting transaction.

Liquidity - The ability of a market to accept large transaction with minimal to no impact on price stability.

Long position - A position that appreciates in value if market prices increase. When the base currency in the pair is bought, the position is said to be long.

Lot - A unit to measure the amount of the deal. The value of the deal always corresponds to an integer number of lots.


M & N

M

Margin - The required equity that an investor must deposit to collateralize a position.

Margin Call - A request from a broker or dealer for additional funds or other collateral to guarantee performance on a position that has moved against the customer.

Market Maker - A dealer who regularly quotes both bid and asks prices and is ready to make a two-sided market for any financial instrument.

Market Risk - Exposure to changes in market prices.

Mark-to-Market - Process of re-evaluating all open positions with the current market prices. These new values then determine margin requirements.

Maturity - The date for settlement or expiry of a financial instrument.

N

Net Position - The amount of currency bought or sold which have not yet been offset by opposite transactions.


O

Offer (ask) - The rate at which a dealer is willing to sell a currency. See Ask (offer) price

Offsetting transaction - A trade with which serves to cancel or offset some or all of the market risk of an open position.

One Cancels the Other Order (OCO) - A designation for two orders whereby one part of the two orders is executed the other is automatically cancelled.

Open order - An order that will be executed when a market moves to its designated price. Normally associated with Good ‘til Cancelled Orders.

Open position - An active trade with corresponding unrealized P&L, which has not been offset by an equal and opposite deal.

Over the Counter (OTC) - Used to describe any transaction that is not conducted over an exchange.

Overnight Position - A trade that remains open until the next business day.

Order - An instruction to execute a trade at a specified rate.


P

Pips - The smallest unit of price for any foreign currency. Digits added to or subtracted from the fourth decimal place, i.e. 0.0001. Also called Points.

Political Risk - Exposure to changes in governmental policy which will have an adverse effect on an investor’s position.

Position - The netted total holdings of a given currency.

Premium - In the currency markets, describes the amount by which the forward or futures price exceed the spot price.

Price Transparency - Describes quotes to which every market participant has equal access.

Profit /Loss or «P/L» or Gain/Loss - The actual «realized» gain or loss resulting from trading activities on Closed Positions, plus the theoretical «unrealized» gain or loss on Open Positions that have been Mark-to-Market.


Q & R

Q

Quote - An indicative market price, normally used for information purposes only.

R

Rally - A recovery in price after a period of decline.

Range - The difference between the highest and lowest price of a future recorded during a given trading session.

Rate - The price of one currency in terms of another, typically used for dealing purposes.

Resistance - A term used in technical analysis indicating a specific price level at which analysis concludes people will sell.

Revaluation - An increase in the exchange rate for a currency as a result of central bank intervention. Opposite of Devaluation.

Risk - Exposure to uncertain change, most often used with a negative connotation of adverse change.

Risk Management - The employment of financial analysis and trading techniques to reduce and/or control exposure to various types of risk.

Roll-Over - Process whereby the settlement of a deal is rolled forward to another value date. The cost of this process is based on the interest rate differential of the two currencies.

Round trip - Buying and selling of a specified amount of currency


S

Settlement - The process by which a trade is entered into the books and records of the counterparts to a transaction. The settlement of currency trades may or may not involve the actual physical exchange of one currency for another.

Short Position - An investment position that benefits from a decline in market price. When the base currency in the pair is sold, the position is said to be short.

Spot Price - The current market price. Settlement of spot transactions usually occurs within two business days.

Spread - The difference between the bid and offer prices.

Square - Purchase and sales are in balance and thus the dealer has no open position.

Sterling - Slang for British Pound.

Stop Loss Order - Order type whereby an open position is automatically liquidated at a specific price. Often used to minimize exposure to losses if the market moves against an investor’s position. As an example, if an investor is long USD at 156.27, they might wish to put in a stop loss order for 155.49, which would limit losses should the dollar depreciate, possibly below 155.49?

Support Levels - A technique used in technical analysis that indicates a specific price ceiling and floor at which a given exchange rate will automatically correct itself. Opposite of resistance.

Swap - A currency swap is the simultaneous sale and purchase of the same amount of a given currency at a forward exchange rate.

Swissy - Market slang for Swiss Franc.


T & U

T

Technical Analysis - An effort to forecast prices by analyzing market data, i.e. historical price trends and averages, volumes, open interest, etc.

Tick - A minimum change in price, up or down.

Tomorrow Next (Tom/Next) - Simultaneous buying and selling of a currency for delivery the following day.

Transaction Cost - The cost of buying or selling a financial instrument.

Transaction Date - The date on which a trade occurs.

Turnover - The total money value of all executed transactions in a given time period; volume.

Two-Way Price - When both a bid and offer rate is quoted for a FX transaction.


U

Unrealized Gain/Loss - The theoretical gain or loss on Open Positions valued at current market rates, as determined by the broker in its sole discretion. Unrealized Gains’ Losses become Profits/Losses when position is closed.

Uptick - A new price quote at a price higher than the preceding quote.

Uptick Rule - In the US, a regulation whereby a security may not be sold short unless the last trade prior to the short sale was at a price lower than the price at which the short sale is executed.

US Prime Rate - The interest rate at which US banks will lend to their prime corporate customers.


V & W & Y

V

Value Date - The date on which counterparts to a financial transaction agree to settle their respective obligations, i.e., exchanging payments. For spot currency transactions, the value date is normally two business days forward. Also known as maturity date.

Variation Margin - Funds a broker must request from the client to have the required margin deposited. The term usually refers to additional funds that must be deposited as a result of unfavorable price movements.

Volatility (Vol) - A statistical measure of a market’s price movements over time.

W

Whipsaw - Slang for a condition of a highly volatile market where a sharp price movement is quickly followed by a sharp reversal.

Y

Yard - Slang for a billion.

Analisa Valas Sederhana Bagian 1 sampai-dengan 4

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Analisa Valas Sederhana Bagian 1 dari 4

Banyak orang yang masih berpikir bahwa menganalisa forex merupakan suatu hal yang rumit dan semua penuh dengan segala macam rumus matematika yang menakutkan. Beberapa orang bahkan rela membayar jutaan rupiah untuk mengikuti kursus-kursus pasar modal yang mempelajari analisa tehnikal dengan perhitungan grafik yang rumit dan bahkan memusingkan karena kita sendiri jadi bingung frame mana yang harus dipilih 1 menitan, 5 menitan atau harian/daily?

Sebenarnya jika kita berfikir logis, jernih dan tenang maka akan terlihat sesuatu yang tidak terlihat karena dikaburkan oleh segala macam tetek bengek indicator dan rumus yang rumit tersebut. Ingat rumus KISS (Keep It Simple Stupid), sebuah pedoman terbaik yang wajib diterapkan di segala bidang kehidupan.

Untuk sukses dalam trading Forex ada suatu prinsip dasar yang harus dipegang . Ingat anda bertrading ini artinya anda berdagang kalau anda berdagang berfikirlah dengan pola pikir seorang pedagang. Beli diharga murah lalu jual di harga tinggi ini adalah aturan nomor satu yang paling wajib diperhatikan. Tidak peduli apakah anda bermain saham, index, bursa komoditi, forex ataupun anda seorang pedagang konvensional, terapkan selalu prinsip tersebut.

Bertrading Forex memang berlangsung 24 jam non stop mulai berjalan dari market Australia sekitar pukul 04:00 WIB Dini hari lalu berlanjut pada pembukaan market Jepang mulai pukul 07:00 WIB pagi diteruskan pembukaan market eropa pada pukul 14:30 WIB sore hari dan diakhiri pada market Amerika yang buka pada jam 20:30 WIB malam dan ditutup sekitar jam 04:30 WIB dini hari.

Berdasarkan pada pengalaman, peran waktu atau sesi bertrading sangat berpengaruh pada hasil akhir kita menang atau kalah. Sekilas secara garis besar harga berjalan datar pada sepanjang pagi sampai sore hari waktu Indonesia bagian barat. Baru pada sesi market Eropa biasanya harga mulai menggeliat dan terbentuk dan puncaknya pada sesi market Amerika. Pada sesi market Amerika ada peluang besar untuk mendapat keuntungan besar dengan waktu singkat asalkan kita bisa memposisikan diri secara tepat.

Cara menentukan posisi Buy atau Sell

Setelah memperhatikan fenomena diatas maka sebaiknya kita bertrading pada waktu sesi market Amerika saja. Langkah pertama adalah menghitung range harga high-low masing-masing pairs mata uang pada hari itu.

Ada 4 macam mata uang yang umum diperdagangkan yaitu:

EURO – USD: Merupakan mata uang Negara uni eropa
GBP – USD: Merupakan mata uang Negara Inggris
USD – JPY: Merupakan mata uang Negara Jepang
USD -CHF: Merupakan mata uang Negara Swiss

Berdasarkan pengamatan rata-rata range harian

Cara menghitungnya selisih data High-Low setiap hari selama 1 bulan dibagi 22 hari kerja

EURO – USD: 115 POINT
GBP – USD: 150 POINT
USD – JPY: 90 POINT
USD -CHF: 130 POINT

Angka-angka diatas tidaklah mutlak baku tapi paling tidak jika pada saat kita akan entry dan range sudah sejumlah rata-rata tersebut paling tidak kita sudah pada jalan yang benar walaupun belum menjamin 100% kemenangan.

Jika kita perhatikan lebih seksama ada suatu pola tertentu yang saling berkaitan pada ke empat pasangan mata uang tersebut yaitu mata uang EURO-USD dan GBP-USD biasanya berjalan seiring berbanding terbalik dengan mata uang USD-JPY dan USD-CHF. Jika mata uang EURO-USD dan GBP-USD menguat maka biasanya mata Uang USD-JPY dan USD-CHF melemah . Demikian pula sebaliknya.

Tetapi perlu disimak lebih lanjut hal tersebut tidak selalu berjalan sesuai kejadian diatas ada kalanya salah satu nya bertahan sedangkan mata uang yang lainnya mengikuti pola yang sesuai biasanya. Jika terjadi demikian maka ada kemungkinan salah satu mata uang yang tertahan pergerakannya tersebut (mata uang yang berpola tidak seperti biasanya) telah berada pada titik terendah atau titik tertinggi harian dan telah mempunyai range harian yang sudah matang (sudah mendekati sama dengan atau lebih sedikit dari rata-rata range harian mata uang tersebut).

Tidak ada aturan khusus yang menyebutkan bahwa salah satu pasangan mata uang lebih gampang diperdagangkan semuanya mempunyai peluang yang sama hanya saja ada baiknya jika kita menyesuaikan dengan kekuatan margin kita.

Pergerakan pasangan mata uang Euro-Usd dan Usd-Jpy lebih stabil dengan kisaran range yang sekitar 100 poinan hal ini tentu saja menjadi lebih aman dimainkan dengan modal margin kita yang kecil dibandingkan dengan pasangan mata uang GBP-USD dan USD-CHF yang berkisar pada angka 200 poinan.

Dari kejadian yang telah saya amati dapat saya ambil kesimpulan bahwa sebenarnya uang atau modal spekulan kelas kakap seperti George Soros hanya diputarkan pada 4 pasang mata uang tersebut saja dimana selalu berusaha menyeimbangkan volume dan harga dari mata uang tersebut supaya pada akhir penutupan berjalan seimbang sesuai dengan rata-rata range high – low harian.

Arah pergerakan harga sebenarnya sudah terbaca dari pergerakan harga masing masing pasangan mata uang tersebut. Masalah pendekatan analisa secara fundamental dengan mencermati berita-berita ekonomi sebenarnya sudah tercermin dari pergerakan harga.



Analisa Valas Sederhana Bagian 2 dari 4

Saya membaca jadwal kalender berita ekonomi hanya untuk melihat jam-nya saja misalnya ada pengumuman berita ekonomi tertentu pada jam sekian. Berarti paling tidak mendekati jam tersebut akan besar kemungkinan terjadi perubahan harga secara ekstrem. Dengan kita mengetahui kira-kira kapan akan adanya pergerakan harga secara ekstrem paling tidak kita telah berhemat waktu dan tidak perlu seharian mengamati pergerakan harga di layar monitor. Kecuali kalau hal tersebut memang merupaka suatu hoby itu tentu saja tidak menjadi masalah bagi anda.

Bertrading sebaiknya mengikuti keadaan lapangan yang terjadi pada saat itu. Terlalu beresiko jika kita berusaha memprediksikan bahwa pada harga sekian akan terjadi bullish / bearish. Saran kedua, tunggu keadaan dan masuk begitu kesempatan benar-benar telah datang. Kunci utama lainnya tungguin trading anda sendiri.

Bertrading harus disiplin mengikuti sistem atau pola yang telah kita tentukan. Keserakahan dapat berakibat fatal saya rasa dengan 1 hari dapat mengantongi 30 – 50 point sudah cukup. Banyak kekalahan besar yang terjadi dari akibat keteledoran yang sepele.

Menentukan entry bisa dilakukan dengan atau tanpa bantuan chart ( Grafik ). Yang menjadi dasar pengambilan keputusan adalah harga tertinggi atau terendah range harian. Misalkan harga bergerak pada saat itu mendekati harga tertinggi pada hari itu, tunggulah dulu biasanya harga bergerak akan terus berusaha menembus harga tertinggi pada hari itu. Perhatikan range hariannya. Misalnya untuk mata uang EURO-USD range hariannya pada saat kita akan entry sudah mencapai 98 point besar kemungkinan harga tertinggi pada hari itu akan tertembus sampai beberapa point lagi diatasnya sebelum kemudian akhirnya harga berbalik arah karena aksi profit taking.

Jika anda tergolong seorang Risk Taker, sebenarnya bisa saja anda memanfaatkan keuntungan sewaktu terjadi koreksi harga tersebut dan anda bisa memetik 2 keuntungan sekaligus sewaktu harga terkoreksi naik sebentar sebelum akhirnya mengalami reversal ( pembalikan harga. ) hal ini bisa saja dilakukan tetapi saya tidak menyarankan untuk digunakan oleh pemula jika anda masih merasa belum begitu mengenal situasi pasar maka sebaiknya anda berlatih dahulu di rekening virtual anda dahulu sampai anda benar-benar menguasainya.

Dan jangan lupa pula perhatikan juga mata uang yang menjadi lawan mata uang yang kita pegang tersebut misalnya karena pada contoh kasus ini kita memegang mata uang EURO-USD maka perhatikan pula mata uang lawannya misalnya USD-JPY seharusnya pada saat yang sama USD-JPY juga akan berusaha menyentuh titik terendah sebelum pada akhirnya berbalik arah.

Dengan memanfaatkan grafik pun kita bisa memperoleh informasi yang cukup jelas lagi jika anda pengguna software metatrader, cukup perhatikan pada time frame 5 menit & 15 menit saja. Indicator yang digunakan cukup Bollinger bands saja dan jika masih kurang yakin gunakan indicator tambahan yaitu RSI dengan seting periodenya 6.

Tetapi sekali lagi yang perlu diingat dasar utamanya adalah range harian High dan Low!

Jika telah terjadi break High ataupun break low baru anda perhatikan grafik candle stick anda terutama fokuskan pada frame 5 menit. Ini berguna supaya entry anda benar-2x persisi dan akurat pada harga serendah-rendahnya atau setinggi-tingginya.

Banyak orang yang justru terjebak pada pemfokusan grafik misalnya garis Moving average sudah cross atau sebagainya tetapi sebenarnya pada waktu itu range harga belum terbentuk secara matang, tentu saja hal tersebut bisa menjadi sangat riskan. Sekali lagi saya tekankan perlunya anda memperhatikan range harga yang sudah terbentuk.

Penggunaan garis pivot point support dan resistance pun bisa anda memanfaatkan untuk perbandingan mempertajam keputusan yang akan diambil. tetapi ingat sekali lagi patokan range hargalah yang menjadi fokusnya jangan anda menjadi rancu atau bingung karena segala macam indicator tersebut.

Misalnya mata uang EURO-USD sudah menembus break high perhatikan pada chart 5 menit anda candle stick akan telah menyentuh garis Bollinger bands bagian atas bahkan mungkin lebih tunggu dahulu sampai benar-benar telah mencapai puncaknya untuk lebih meyakinkan lagi konfirmasikan dengan time frame 15 menit baru setelah dirasakan adanya gejala reversal atau pembalikan maka baru anda melakukan entry.

Pergerakan harga merupakan suatu hal yang kompleks yang melibatkan keempat pasangan mata uang tersebut satu sama lainnya. Hal ini tidak bisa dijelaskan secara detail. Demikian pula penentuan overbought ataupun oversold tidak mutlak berpedoman pada chart frame 5 menit atau 15 menit hal ini akan anda peroleh sendiri dengan jalan sering berlatih gunakanlah logika anda maka hal yang luar biasa akan anda dapatkan.

Saya ingin menjelaskan secara tertulis ataupun lisan tapi memang hal ini tidak bisa dijelaskan begitu saja sama saja seperti saya misalnya memberitahukan kepada anda harumnya bunga melati. Kita tidak bisa bukan untuk mendiskripsikan dengan kata-kata atau tulisan jalan satu-satunya supaya anda tahu ya cium dan rasakan sendiri harumnya.

Pelajari pergerakan ke 4 pasang mata uang tersebut EURO-USD, GBP-USD, USD-JPY dan USD-CHF disitulah letak kunci jawaban kemenangan anda.



Analisa Valas Sederhana Bagian 3 dari 4

Bertrading bukanlah suatu ilmu pasti 1+1=2 jadi jangan sia-siakan uang anda untuk kursus-kursus yang menjanjikan keuntungan trading secara pasti kalau memang kursus tersebut pasti bisa menjamin kesuksesan anda bertrading ngapain mereka masih sibuk buka usaha kursus bukankah lebih baik mengurusi trading mereka sendiri?

Kunci utamanya seringlah berlatih. Segala bacaan atau ilmu dapat anda peroleh secara gratis lewat googling browsing di internet atau bertukar pikiran dengan rekan-rekan di forum atau millis.

Trick diatas juga tidak menjanjikan keuntungan yang pasti tetapi paling tidak dengan menerapkan logika diatas anda sudah berada pada jalur yang tepat dan anda tidak bertrading secara buta. Anda sudah mendapatkan dasar dalam pengambilan suatu keputusan. Semoga masukan dari saya bisa memberi kesuksesan bagi kita semua.

Management Resiko

Yang namanya salah analisa atau perhitungan sangat wajar terjadi pada saat bertrading salah satu yang paling penting adalah margin anda. Trading yang aman sebaiknya hanya menggunakan 10-20% dari margin anda sisanya sangat diperlukan untuk menghadapi hal-hal yang terjadi diluar dugaan. Atau kalau tidak mau pusing jalan paling sederhana adalah melakukan cut loss.

Langkah pertama yang akan dibahas adalah melakukan tindakan average misalnya anda mengalami loss sampai dengan 50 point atau bahkan lebih tetaplah bersikap tenang tetap pada pedoman yang utama ambil tindakan berpedoman pada harga high atau low harian beraksi jika harga telah matang walaupun posisi masih kalah usahakan equity anda terus bertambah sehingga paling tidak anda memperoleh hasil impas dan modal awal anda tidak kena makan.

Langkah kedua adalah tindakan locking atau hedging tindakan ini maksudnya untuk membatasi kerugian anda agar tidak terus membengkak bersabarlah dan tetap berfikir tenang maka kekusutan ini akan dapat diselesaikan dengan cantik dan anda bisa tetap memperoleh keuntungan manfaatkan virtual account untuk belajar memanagement resiko anda.

Langkah ketiga adalah cutt loss hal ini tidak perlu dibahas lebih dalam karena sangat simple hanya anda akan mengalami kerugian sekian poin sesuai dengan apa yang anda mampu terima.

Dalam melakukan management resiko sangat diperlukan ketenangan sikap. Keputusan entry tetap berpedoman pada harga high dan low biarpun pada saat anda melihat minus pointnya sudah besar, tapi berpikirlah seolah anda masih tidak ada minus yang dikhawatirkan akibat panik anda langsung me-locking atau me-average posisi anda padahal harga bergerak saat itu belum matang akibatnya bisa tambah runyam.

Point utamanya adalah usahakan agar equity awal anda tidak berkurang akibat kesalahan menganalisa bayarlah kerugian point anda dengan point yang anda peroleh kembali dari trading yang baru.

Contoh kasus hari Senin 5 Desember 2005

Tema : Akibat serakah
Pairs: GBP-USD

Senin sekitar jam 23:00-24:00
Harga tick 1.7394 harga High di 1.7416 sudah koreksi turun ke 1.7364 balik kembali menuju ke 1.17390 an bergerak seakan susah menembus ke 1.7390 harga bergerak di kisaran 1.7385-1.7390 an bahkan cenderung untuk turun semua indikataor dan analisa chart juga menunjukan signal bearish range harga pun sudah dirasakan cukup matang di 140 an point.

Kondisi USD-CHF juga sudah stabil nilai range USD-CHF juga dirasakan sudah matang karena sudah mencapai 140 poinan Hanya USD-JPY yang dirasakan masih kurang.

Hal seperti ini rawan dan memicu untuk segera mengambil posisi walaupun sebenarnya harga masih bisa naik lagi tapi kesimpulan kita ini Cuma koreksi saja dan akhirnya ternyata harga di swing ke atas break high terus sampai mencapai puncak ke 1.7440 an.

Kejadian seperti diatas bisa menimbulkan loss yang cukup besar sebenarnya asal sabar masih bisa dicegah hanya saja kemampuan kita menahan emosi yang masih sangat minim sehingga mengakibatkan mengambil keputusan secara terburu-buru.

Jika anda bersabar dan tidak serakah pada hasil trading beberapa menit yang lalu sebenarnya anda sudah mengantongi kemenangan sekitar 30 poin persis seperti target. Dalam kasus ini kemampuan mengontrol dirilah yang menjadi factor loss atau profitnya.

Kesalahan fatal yang terus berlanjut

Begitu mendapati harga terus naik mungkin anda mencoba mengaveragenya namun tindakan ini terlalu dini karena anda mengaveragenya pas sudah pagi masuk sesi Australia-Jepang. Peraturan basic harus diingat bertradinglah di market Amerika karena di market Amerikalah pergerakan harga yang sebenarnya terbentuk.

Apa dasar saya mengambil keputusan entry?

Coba anda renungkan kembali pertanyaan diatas sebaik-baiknya!

Apakah karena chart candle stick apakah karena tehnikal indicator yang sudah konfirm? Sedangkan banyak diantara kita bahkan saya sendiri yang masih bingung mengadopsi time frame yang tepat 1 menit, 5 menit, 15 menit, 30 menit, 1 jam, 4 jam, daily, weekly, monthly?

Sedangkan jika di cermati indicator tehnikal juga mengkonfirmasikan secara berlainan pada setiap time framenya jadi mana yang benar? Saya juga bingung. Memang factor range bisa saja terjadi miss tapi apakah factor analisa candle stick dan tehnikal indicator lainnya juga bisa menjamin tidak pernah miss?



Analisa Valas Sederhana Bagian 4 dari 4

Bagaimana bisa saya tahu harga yang sudah saya dapatkan sudah tergolong cukup tinggi?

Anda hitung range rata-rata harian pasangan mata uang yang anda mainkan. Misalnya Euro-Usd rata-2x rangenya 115 poinan waktu anda akan entry anda sudah menghitung dan ternyata range sudah berada pada kisaran 112 poin sedangkan harga berjalan saat ini hanya selisih kurang 3 poin dari harga tertinggi ini sudah bisa dikatakan anda sudah memperoleh harga yang cukup tinggi bukan.

Sesial-sialnya anda, misalnya harga masih bisa naik lagi paling hanya selisih 20 poinan lagi tidak sampai kena sampai ratusan poin bukan.

Secara logika sederhana seandainya anda sudah mendapat harga yang sudah tergolong paling tinggi misalnya.

Memang ada kemungkinan harga bisa naik lebih tinggi lagi tapi minimal selisihnya sudah tidak terlalu banyak bukan.

Contoh :

EURO-USD rata-rata range hariannya 115 poin

Waktu anda akan masuk market
High : 1.1804
Low : 1.1690
Harga tick bergerak saat itu: 1.1802
High – Low = 114 poin
Selisih dari harga High ke harga Tick = 2 point

Anda memutuskan untuk entry sell EURO-USD bisa jadi harga akan terus bergerak naik misalnya sampai ke 1.1815. Anda akan mengalami minus 13 point tetapi jika benar terjadi demikian artinya sudah bisa dikatakan tidak mungkin lagi anda sampai mengalami minus sampai 50 point ke atas karena range harganya pun saat anda masuk sudah diatas rata-rata.

Hal ini berbeda jika anda berpedoman pada indicator tehnikal RSI atau apalah yang lainnya itu saya yakin pada saat harga 1.1780 an saja sudah masuk ke indicator overbought dan bagi anda yang tidak mengetahui trick ini sudah memutuskan untuk entry dan pas harga di swing oleh market menuju ke 1.1815 anda sudah berkeringat dingin bukan? Bahkan mungkin anda sudah memutuskan untuk cutt loss.

Rahasia 4 Unsur

Dalam bertrading forex ada 4 macam pair Major seperti yang sudah dibahas diatas. Dalam pengamatan saya ke 4 unsur ini satu sama lain saling berkaitan dimana terdapat fenomena misalnya jika Euro-USD dan GBP-USD naik maka USD-CHF dan USD-JPY menurun mungkin sebagian dari pembaca sudah mengerti akan hal ini.

Tapi jika diperhatikan lebih lanjut lagi ada suatu keanehan yang kadang muncul, dimana salah satu pasangan mata uang tetap bertahan atau Cuma berjalan di tempat saja naik 5-10 point lalu turun lagi 5-10 poin.

Segera cek masing-masing range ke 4 pairs tersebut biasanya pasti salah satunya sedang berada dalam kondisi belum balance dan sedang berusaha menyesuaikan ketertinggalan rangenya sementara yang lainnya tetap berusaha menjaga kestabilan harga high atau lownya supaya tidak terlalu over.

Memang sedikit membingungkan dan sukar diceritakan secara tertulis hal ini bisa anda pelajari dengan berlatih membaca pergerakan major pairs tersebut gunakan logika maka akan anda temukan kuncinya.

Menghindari Signal palsu

Salah satu kekurangan tehnikal indicator dan charting grafik adalah kurang bisa mendeteksi signal palsu tampilan grafik dan tehnikal indicator seolah-olah sudah menunjukan overbought misalnya. Tapi pada kenyataanya harga terus melambung tinggi seolah sudah tidak peduli lagi pada segala macam aturan standart.

Keunggulan tehnik analisa Range point adalah bisa mengantisipasinya sehingga kita tidak termakan jebakan market atau Bandar. Memang tidak ada bukti nyata bahwa ke empat pasangan major pairs tersebut berkaitan tetapi berdasarkan dari pengalaman dan pengamatan semua menunjukan bahwa memang ada kaitannya.

Posisi ideal adalah saat kedua pasangan pairs tersebut sudah konfirm.

Contoh:

Anda open posisi sell EURO-USD lalu perhatikan lawannya misalnya USD-JPY. Pada saat EURO-USD reversal seharusnya USD-JPY juga mengalami reversal pula. Jika anda entry pada saat sudah terjadi hal demikian bisa hampir dipastikan 99% anda pasti menang mengantongi paling sedikitnya 10 point. Yang harus diingat adalah tidak selamanya misalnya EURO-USD berlawanannya dengan USD-JPY bisa jadi EURO-USD berlawanan dengan USD-CHF. Pokoknya salah satu diantara 2 pairs tersebut.

Seandainya terjadi hal yang abnormal misalnya, justru EURO-USD berlawanan dengan GBP-USD maka saya sarankan wait and see dulu mungkin pasar / Bandar sedang merencanakan sesuatu hal.

Hal tersebut tidak akan anda dapatkan kalau hanya mengandalkan chart grafik atau tehnikal indicator.

Prinsip Keseimbangan

Ke 4 major pair tersebut selamanya berusaha saling menseimbangkan hal ini tidak bisa dijelaskan perkata saya harap anda bisa membacanya.

Cara membacanya adalah berpikirlah secara logika jangan terfokus hanya kepada salah satu pasangan mata uang saja.

Demikian, Semoga Bermanfaat.

My EA (Expert Advisor) Collection

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Strategi Simple Trading Commodities Gold & Silver menggunakan EA HAS Ayahama

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Sebelumnya, saya ucapkan banyak terimakasih kepada Mas Ideta perihal pembuatan EA HAS Ayahama ini.



1. Bahan-bahan :
  1. EA HAS (Heiken Ashi Smoothed) Ayahama dot Com
  2. Indi Fibo
  3. Template
  4. Ngitung TP berdasarkan titik resistance fibo
Semua bahan-bahan tersebut diatas bisa anda download di http://ayahama.4shared.com

Jika meminta password, silahkan hubungi (Call/SMS) saya di 085295210386



2. Teknik Pelaksanaan Trading

Metode ini saya terapkan di aktivitas Trading Gold dan Silver di Broker Instaforex dan Marketiva.

Perlu anda fahami bahwa saya hanya akan menggunakan Teknik Buy on Low di TF 4H saja. Dengan kata lain saya tidak akan melakukan Sell untuk Trading Gold dan Silver ini.

Untuk Money Management (MM) Trading Gold dan Silver bisa anda lihat dibagian bawah blog ini.

Dan sebetulnya teknik yang akan saya coba uraikan ini adalah sama bila diterapkan di Forex (jadi jangan khawatir)

Ok. Kita lihat langsung ke contoh sbb :




Gambar diatas adalah OP Buy Silver yang dilakukan oleh EA.

Saya setting EA ini menjadi :
  • OP = Buy Only (cara settingnya - terdapat di bagian common = Only Long Position)
  • Lot = Disesuaikan dengan Rule MM dibawah halaman blog ini
  • SL = 0
  • TP = 0
  • Target = Di isi nilai 300 (untuk trade Silver) dan di isi 15000 (untuk trade Gold) - Nilai ini boleh dirubah sesuai enjoy masing-masing
  • Parameter yang lain-nya tidak saya rubah.
Perlu ada fahami pula, bahwa dalam penempatan nilai TP dan SL EA HAS (Heiken Ashi Smoothed) Ayahama dot Com, saya setting manual berdasarkan nilai High/Low Fibo.

Nah dikarenakan saya bermain di Gold Silver = saya hanya mengatur TP berdasarkan High Fibo lalu dikurangi 10 pips sebagai buffer Silver dan 500 pips sebagai buffer Gold.

Dan alangkah bijaksananya jika anda tidak mengabaikan kondisi Trend di Daily TF (Sebelum mengaktifkan EA HAS Ayahama ini).



Salam.
 
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